Prediction Skills

Back on July 18 we took a look at were things were for the Cubs and made our second half predictions for the rest of the season. At the time we thought the Cubs were a lock to win 100 games. We still have a shot…but we are thinking 98-99 at the moment. So with that said, here was what we predicted and the actual results up through last nights game at New York.

Original Story:

We looked at several percentages, including day games after night games, home / road splits, took into account the trade deadine (July 31) that will severly hamper Cincinatti (Dunn and/ or Griffey gone), Pittsburgh (Xaivier Nady). We also took into account the expansion of rosters on September 1 when Houston and Cincinnati will not be contending, and will be evaluating new talent (read as giving away games). It all makes for pretty dry reading. Just know we took it all into account…and here are the predictions

Philadelphia Phillies
Four Games @ Wrigley
Our Projections 2-2
Total Record v. Phillies After Projections: 2-2

New York Mets
Four Games @ Shea
Our Projections 1-3
Current Cubs Record v. Mets After Projections 2-1

Florida Marlins
Four @ Wrigley 2-2
Three @ Pro Player 2-1
Our Projections 4-3
Total Record v. Marlins After Projections: 4-3

Atlanta Braves
Three @ Turner
Our Projection 2-1
Total Record v. Braves After Projections: 3-0

Washington Nationals
Three  @ Wrigley
Our Projections 3-0
Total Record v. Nationals After Projections: 2-1

St. Louis Cardinals
Six @ Wrigley Current Record v. Cardinals After Projections: 2-1
Three @ Busch
Our Projections 6-3
Total Record v. Cards After Projections: 6-3

Milwaukee Brewers
Three @ Wrigley
Seven @ Miller Current Record v. Brewers After Projections: 4-0
Our Projections 5-5
Total Record v. Brewers After Projections: 6-1

Cincinnati Reds
Three @ Wrigley
Three @ Great American
Our Projections  5-1
Total Record v. Reds After Projections: 3-3

Pittsburgh Pirates
Three @ Wrigley Current Record v. Pirates After Projections: 2-1
Three @ PNC
Our Projections 5-1
Total Record v. Pirates After Projections: 5-1

Houston Astros
Six @ Wrigley…Current Record v. Astros After Projections: 2-1
Six @ Minute Made…Current Record v. Astros After Projections: 1-2
Our Projections 8-4
Total Record v. Astros After Projections: 5-6

Arizona Diamondbacks
Three @ Chase
Our Projections 2-1
Total Record v. Arizona After Projections: 1-2

Totals 43-24

Current Record 57-38 (on July 18)

Final Record 100-62
Current Record 96-61

Cubs Clinch Central on September 22
Cubs Clinched on September 20

All in all…pretty happy with the projections…where did we go wrong? Never saw the sweep coming at the hands of the Astros, and didnt think the Reds could win a series against us. Six game losing streak was offset by sweeps at Atlanta and Milwaukee.

In order to get 100 wins the Cubs need tonights win at NYM and a sweep at Milwaukee because it doesnt look like the third Astros game is going to be needed.

Fun looking back…..but really cant wait for the post season at this point.

Chat here below later tonight.


13 Responses to Prediction Skills

  1. mikeychx says:

    welcome…just in case

  2. Larry says:

    Hey Mikey, who else is going under today besides WAMU and the Mets?

  3. mikeychx says:

    what happned to wamu…i just got off the golf course?

  4. mikeychx says:

    B team is out…and were still winning…haha

  5. Larry says:

    Been on the phone talking to my son – Hoff is a beast!!

  6. Larry says:

    WAMU is going to be taken over by the FDIC

  7. mikeychx says:

    really…wow…yeah hoffis going off

  8. Larry says:

    I think Morgan Stanley may enter the picture on the WAMU deal

  9. mikeychx says:

    i just lloked it up…jp morgan

  10. Larry says:

    That’s right – one of the big money houses. Sorry

  11. mikeychx says:

    no prob…..did you see me mock the trolls earlier on espn…i was typing 1908 and people were telling me to get lost….the regulars stuck up for me though

  12. Larry says:

    Yeah, I did see that!! LOL I started to do a 1908 but thought I’d just let it ride.

    What do you think about the finacial crisis. I heard it described tonight as the biggest one since the 1930’s. Kinda scary right now. I don’t think Congress will do anything tomorrow and I actually think the tide is turning against the bailout plans. It is a global fiasco.

  13. Larry says:

    What about USC and Oregon State??? Still a half to go but the Beavers look amped

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